Sokol Artillery attack by Ukrainian force on June 3, 2015—Sokol Market, Tekstilshiki District, Donetsk, DPR (photo by Graham W. Phillips)

Preamble: The following analysis was provided to us by an individual with intimate understanding of the conflict, whose insight is derived from detailed data of troop movements collected in May 2015. In view of the sharp escalation of the conflict in the Donbass on June 2-4, 2015, we are now publishing this information, unabridged. Our hope is that the Ukrainian assault projected in the analysis below can be averted, or, at the very least, repulsed and mitigated. Please note that the images below can be clicked to zoom for easier reading.

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